Sunday, September 25, 2011

2011 Week Three Monday Night Heroes

By: Nick Grays, League Commissioner

Lots of media outlets are calling NFL's Week Three "Upset Week," but can we really call so many games upsets. After only three games, I think it's really hard to start gauging what teams are elite and which ones are really bad. For instance, maybe the Bills really are better than the Patriots (have you seen the Pats' pass defense? absolutely horrendous). What about the Raiders over the Jets, is it really an upset when New York travels across the country to play in Oakland? Either way you look at it, teams are just starting to show us what their made of. In regards to fantasy, I think it really could be the same concept, so if you didn't have the week you hoped for, maybe possible Monday Night Heroes (MNHs) from the following game can give you a nudge in the right direction:

Washington Redskins (2-0) vs. Dallas Cowboys (1-1) 7:30 PM CT (ESPN-HD)

*Scores are subject to change

1.) Free Victory (Tim Harwood) (2-0) vs. Dogfighters (Chad Breiby) (1-1)

Score: 87-71 Free Victory (FINAL)
Possible MNH's: N/A
Reaction/Prediction: Tim has done a great job at becoming the first team to officially move on to 3-0. He has QB Drew Brees (26 points) who's averaging a nice 25 fantasy points per contest. Every time the Saints play, it seems like it's going to be a shoot-out and that bodes well for Free Victory. On the other side, Chad moves to 1-2 despite a breakout performer in RB Darren McFadden (29 points) who looks like what we thought we would get in 2009 and 2010. Unfortunately for Dogfighters, QB Michael Vick (8 points) is living up to his injury-prone designation as he followed up a concussion with a broken right hand (the non-throwing hand).

2.) Team McCarthy (Matt McCarthy) (1-1) vs. Team Merrill (Seth Merrill) (1-1)

Score: 92-61 Team McCarthy (31 point lead)
Possible MNH's: TE Jason Witten (Team Merrill)
Reaction/Prediction: Matt received some timely production from Colts RB Joseph Addai (14 points) in order to pull out to a sizable lead. Seth is obviously ailing from the Jamaal Charles loss, but now has a WR problem to deal with as well. While I love Witten (proj. of 15) on Monday Night, it's almost impossible that he goes for 32 points.

3.) Team Lee (Isaac Lee) (1-1) vs. Banana Fosters (Kari Klitzman) (2-0)

Score: 67-65 Team Lee (2 point lead)
Possible MNH's: WR Jesse Holley (Team Lee), K Dan Bailey (Team Lee), RB Felix Jones (Banana Fosters) and WR Kevin Ogletree (Banana Fosters) or RB Tashard Choice (Banana Fosters)
Reaction/Prediction: This has to be some kind of record for possible MNH's from a single team in a single match-up. Kari is dealing with some crazy injury issues, but seems to be one of the luckiest teams in our league. She has a shot at going 3-0 without two of her top fantasy draft picks in RB Arian Foster (hamstring) and WR Miles Austin (hamstring). There's a battle of the back-ups in this one as Holley (proj. of 5) and Ogletree (proj. of 6) will both try to make their respective fantasy teams proud. I'm giving Kari the slight edge in this match-up because she has either Jones (proj. of 5) or Choice (proj. of 3), the two who I feel are the best bet to get the most touches from a busy Dallas backfield on Monday. Isaac will make it close with a dangerous kicker in Bailey (proj. of 11) though.

4.) Team Szombatfalvy (Mike Szombatfalvy) (0-2) vs. Mr. Rodgers Neighborhood (Nick Grays) (0-2)

Score: 87-77 Mr. Rodgers Neighborhood (10 point lead)
Possible MNH's: QB Rex Grossman (Team Szombatfalvy)
Reaction/Prediction: The Steelers D/ST (9 points) barely came through to help Mike in the Sunday Night game. Because of that, he really needs Grossman (proj. of 8) to step up against a decent Cowboys defense. For some reason, I think he should be OK to get at least 11 points out of Grossman, the Cowboys gave more than that up to Mark Sanchez and Alex Smith who are far from good QBs. Plus, Grossman is averaging 16.5 through two games, why such a dip in his projection?

5.) Arthur's Arsenal (Robert/Johnny) (2-0) vs. The Hellmuthinators (Rory Linton) (1-1)

Score: 118-80 The Hellmuthinators (38 point lead)
Possible MNH's: RB Tim Hightower (Arthur's Arsenal) and Redskins D/ST (Arthur's Arsenal)
Reaction/Prediction: I'm going to go out on a limb and say there's no way Hightower (proj. of 15) and the Redskins D/ST (proj. of 7) combine for the necessary 38 points to help Arthur's Arsenal reach 3-0. Just because it should be noted, Rory knew all along that Matthew Stafford (23 points) and Calvin Johnson (22 points) would bounce back from a horrible first half in Minnesota.

6.) Wizard Killer (Joe Selbo) (2-0) vs. Team Szmanda (Jason Szmanda) (1-1)

Score: 117-95 Wizard Killer (22 point lead)
Possible MNH's: WR Dez Bryant (Wizard Killer)
Reaction/Prediction: Jason received balanced production, but it was no match for Wizard Killer and the record-tying performance they received from WR Wes Welker (34 points). Bryant (proj. of 14) has the opportunity to do the victory dance and catapult Joe's team past Rory, Robert and Johnny's shared team records of 122 points in one week. At 3-0, Joe is officially the best team in the fantasy league right now.

7.) Team Lowenberg (Nick Lowenberg) (0-2) vs. Team Grande (Anthony Grande) (0-2)

Score: 60-49
Possible MNH's: RB DeMarco Murray (Team Grande), WR Santana Moss (Team Grande) and TE Fred Davis (Team Grande)
Reaction/Prediction: Nick has to be really frustrated with his fantasy team and slightly worried that he may fail to qualify for the playoffs for the first time ever. Grande should pass Team Lowenberg with Murray (proj. of 2), Moss (proj. of 11) and Davis (proj. of 7), but you just never know. In a weird coincidence, I think both Nicks will be 0-3, but Nick L. will get $5 for his record low input this week. (Note: Anthony has a chance to win the Pity Pot and Low Record which he already holds from his 71 on Week One).

What are your thoughts on this week's match-ups? Let me know by commenting below!

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