Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Week Twelve Fantasy Predictions from Nick and Chad

Nick's Record (37-40 overall) (3-19 in points predictions) = 43 points (4-3 in week eleven)
Chad's Record (46-31 overall) (2-20 in points predictions) = 50 points
(4-3 in week eleven)

1.) Wizard Killer (Joe Selbo) (6-5) vs. The Rippin and the Tearin (Rory Linton) (6-5)
Nick's Outlook: Joe is on a surprising three-game winning streak including a baller pot in week eleven. That's not too bad for a guy who has avoided the waiver wire all year long. Greg Jennings (proj. of 22) may be a little over-projected against a decent Falcons secondary, but Steven Jackson (proj. of 19, pictured above) is due for a big day against the Broncos. On the other side, Rory has this year's fantasy MVPs in Peyton Hillis (proj. of 25) and Michael Vick (proj. of 20). This one will most likely be close because of Joe's current streak, but I'll stick with Rory on a hunch.
Nick's Prediction: The Rippin and the Tearin

Chad's Outlook:
It’s interesting that Rippin is currently a #2 seed, but theoretically speaking could miss the playoffs by losing the next two weeks and having a lower point total for the tie breaker. It’s a safe bet that if the Rippin wins one out of the next two, he’s in. The same goes for Wizard Killer. He has the 3rd best point total out of the 6-5 teams, so the playoffs look promising if at least 1 win can be achieved.
Chad's Prediction: Rippin secures a playoff spot

2.) Team Szmanda (Jason Szmanda) (8-3) vs. Team Klitzman (Kari Klitzman) (4-7)

Nick's Outlook: Jason can have fun on Thanksgiving because he will have four fantasy players in action. Calvin Johnson (proj. of 23) is one of them against a super soft Patriot's secondary. Kari hopes Frank Gore (proj. of 21) can rebound from a bad game against Tampa Bay. Against Arizona, I expect Gore to more than make-up for his pitiful five fantasy points last week. For that reason, I take Kari in this one to make next week's matchup with Team Grays really interesting.
Nick's Prediction: Team Klitzman

Chad's Outlook:
Szmanda has obviously locked up a playoff spot, but has not locked the #1 seed. Breiby needs to make up only one game in the next two weeks to overtake the #1 seed assuming Szmanda doesn’t make up for the 101 points that he’s behind on their season’s head-to-head total. Of course any 6-5 team could overtake the number one seed with 2 Szmanda losses, 1 Breiby loss, and a whole lot of points. Team Klitzman is in the same boat as the Sad-asses with one major advantage. She has about a 60 point lead over her potential competitors, Merrill and the 2 other 4-7 teams. She also has to beat out her baby’s daddy and hubby in week 13, Grays. Team Klitzman has the best chance out of the 4-7s, but will need a lot of help.
Chad's Prediction: Klitzman upsets and keeps her playoff hopes alive.

3.) Team Grays (Nick Grays) (4-7) vs. Free Victory (Tim Harwood) (5-6)

Nick's Outlook:
Is this the week we will see Free Victory's Reggie Bush (proj. of 10) return from his broken leg? I think it is, meaning Tim has a good chance in this one with the hot Steve Johnson (proj. of 15) playing as well. The Bill's Johnson is averaging 12.2 fantasy points a game. However, Johnson also alternates good and bad games much like his fantasy team. For the first time all year, my entire team has double-digit projections. I'm not sure that's a good or bad thing. I'll side with good seeing I was able to snag the Browns D/ST (proj. of 13). I have a feeling Ray Rice (proj. of 19) and Jamaal Charles (proj. of 16) want to be in the fantasy playoffs.
Nick's Prediction: Team Grays

Chad's Outlook:
Grays’ chances aren’t horrible to make the playoffs. He needs to beat Victory and Klitzman the next two weeks and needs Merrill to drop one of the next two while maintaining his point lead over Merrill. Grays has a pretty decent point total, so if any of the current 6-5 teams drop 2 straight, he could win a tie breaker with them instead of Merrill. Free Victory needs to straight up win out if he wants to make the playoffs. All those pity pots are coming back to bite him because he will lose any tie breaker thrown his way with a league low 767 points scored.
Chad's Prediction: Grays keeps his playoff hopes alive while destroying Free Victory’s

4.) Team Merrill (Seth Merrill) (5-6) vs. Team Lee (Isaac Lee) (6-5)

Nick's Outlook: A must-win for Team Merrill as he doesn't want to fall down to the seven loss mark. Luckily for him, Maurice Jones-Drew (proj. of 17) and DeSean Jackson (proj. of 15) are two of the hottest fantasy options in the game right now. Meanwhile, Isaac's team has completely collapsed. Drew Brees (proj. of 21), Rashard Mendenhall (proj. of 18) and Dez Bryant (proj. of 11) is all the little man really has. I'm thinking Team Merrill takes this one, essentially putting Team Lee's season in jeopardy.
Nick's Prediction: Team Merrill

Chad's Outlook:
Merrill has just an average season point total of 895 so 2-0 would be the safe route to the playoffs but 1-1 could do it with some big points in the next two weeks. The safe route for Lee is going to be at least one win in the next two because he also has just an average point total at 895. I think Lee secures a spot this week with a win, also giving more hope to grays’ playoff chances.
Chad's Prediction: Team Lee

5.) Team Breiby (Chad Breiby) (7-4) vs. Bobby's Sad-Asses (Robert Trader/John Rymaszewski) (4-7)

Nick's Outlook: Team Breiby is the only fantasy team in the league to eclipse 1000 total points this season and Peyton Manning (proj. of 20) and Arian Foster (proj. of 19) are big reasons why. Couple them with LeSean McCoy (proj. of 17) and you're talking some serious firepower. Bobby's Sad Asses have won two straight with solid production from the odd couple, Kyle Orton (proj. of 19) and Brandon Lloyd (proj. of 16). However, I think the Rams' defense is better than advertised, so I'll take Team Breiby because St. Louis will limit the odd couple. That will officially end Robert and John's chances are the playoffs.
Nick's Prediction: Team Breiby

Chad's Outlook:
Mathematically, Breiby cannot miss the playoffs. For the Sad-asses, Merrill and Victory both need to lose this week (which would give Team Grays a win). Merrill and Victory play each other week 13 giving one of the two a 6-7 record. If the Sad-asses’ season point total is more than the winning team of the Merrill-Victory match in week 13 (and more than Team Grays' point total pending a week 13 win for him also), he can make the playoffs as a # 9 seed. Team Klitzman could also win out, achieving a 6-7 record (knocking Team Grays out of the playoffs). In that case, Sad-asses would need to eclipse Klitzman’s point total on the season. This case is assuming that the current 6-5 teams don’t lose their last two games. If such case were to occur, the sad-asses would have a better chance. In a nut-shell, the sad-asses had a sad ass season and their chances of making the playoffs are just as bad as the viking’s chances of making the playoffs.
Chad's Prediction: Team Breiby wins and the Sad-asses miss the playoffs.

6.) Team McCarthy (Matt McCarthy) (7-4) vs. Team Lowenberg (Nick Lowenberg) (6-5)

Nick's Outlook: Both of these teams are most likely in the playoffs, but nonetheless this match-up remains an important one for seeding purposes. Not sure if anyone can stop Team McCarthy right now who has reeled off five straight wins. His Tom Brady (proj. of 18) will be thinking Turkey on Thursday while Mike Wallace (proj. of 20) will be thinking touchdown on Sunday like he has many weekends before. Team Lowenberg has sputtered after a hot start. Adrian Peterson (proj. of 20) is still waiting for another break-out game after being limited to only 15 points in the last two weeks combined. Roddy White (proj. of 16) will also try to exploit the Packers' secondary. I'm not sure that will happen, so I'll stick with the streak.
Nick's Prediction: Team McCarthy

Chad's Outlook:
McCarthy is in the playoffs already. Lowenberg can pretty much guarantee a playoff spot unless he puts up two hideous scores this week and next. Lowenberg closely follows Rippin in highest point total out of the 6-5 teams. So if Lowenberg drops the next two, he will most likely win a playoff spot because of the tie breaker. I think Lowenberg wins this week to lock up the spot.
Chad's Prediction: Team Lowenberg

7.) Team Szombatfalvy (Mike Szombatfalvy) (3-8) vs. Team Grande (Anthony Grande) (6-5)

Nick's Outlook: Team Szombatfalvy looks to play spoiler behind Chris Johnson (proj. of 24) and Philip Rivers (proj. of 19) while Team Grande tries to avoid a hideous ending to the season. The Giants' officially hate Ahmad Bradshaw (proj. of 17) after naming Brandon Jacobs the starter and Sam Bradford (proj. of 16) should finish the game unlike Vince Young. The new scary trio consists of Andre Johnson (proj. of 15), Terrell Owens (proj. of 15) and Danny Amendola (proj. of 12). Even if Marshall is out of the equation, I like those three to put up some numbers. Give me Grande to clinch his playoff spot this weekend.
Nick's Prediction: Team Grande

Chad's Outlook:
Szom has the number one QB in the league and number 14 record. He is the only one that is mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. Grande needs to scrape at least 1 win to feel good about his playoff hopes because he is the third worst in scoring this year behind SZOM and the pity pot champ. If he loses out, a different 6-7 team will surely win the tie breaker against him. Grays and Klitzman will be rooting for a big SZOM win this week to brighten their playoff hopes. I think SZOM pulls off the upset, just to keep things interesting.
Chad's Prediction: Team Szombatfalvy

8.) Points Predictions

Nick's Prediction: Highest (Team McCarthy) and Lowest (Team Szombatfalvy)

Chad's Prediction:
Highest (The Rippin and the Tearin) and Lowest(Bobby's Sad-Asses)

9.) Playoff Predictions

Nick's Prediction: Team Szmanda, The Rippin and the Tearin, Team Breiby, Team Lowenberg, Team McCarthy, Team Grande, Wizard Killer, Team Merrill, Team Klitzman (Team Klitman beats Team Grays in Week 13)

Chad's Prediction:
Team Szmanda, Team Breiby, The Rippin and the Tearin, Team McCarthy, Team Lowenberg, Team Lee, Wizard Killer, Team Merrill, Team Grays (Team Grays pulls a magical finish while Grande drops two straight.)

Let us know what you think about the predictions by commenting below!

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  1. I love wrong predictions!!!

  2. Nice John, you guys are holding on to a thread! Need some help, but have a chance at the playoff spot. I basically need to win and I'm in. If I lose, my gf is in, so either way, it's lookin good in this household!

  3. Sounds good, either way though this has been a fun season.